BB10 vital to the success of BlackBerry

The success of the first BlackBerry 10 device will be vital to the future of the newly named BlackBerry, who released the product in New York today.

That is the view of Informa Telecoms & Media, who along with many other industry experts, believe the latest release from BlackBerry will decide the company's long-term future.

Comments in the media have been somewhat negative towards the Canadian company this week, with most stressing the importance of regaining consumer confidence in the BlackBerry brand.

But as with any launch, there can be no 100% guarantee of anything, with consumer preference still unpredictable in parts.

"The BlackBerry brand continues to lose its luster and RIM is now relying on its BB10 platform, which it has developed from scratch, to regain consumer confidence in its brand," says Malik Saadi, principal analyst, Informa Telecoms & Media.

"The success, or otherwise, of the first device powered by the new platform will determine RIM’s future.

"In developed markets, BlackBerry is no longer perceived as a premium brand and subscribers in these regions have deserted the platform in their masses due to the lack of attractive devices.

"In 2012, the company sold fewer than 14 million BlackBerry phones in Western Europe and North America combined.

"However, RIM could well win these users back if it can offer them a premium user experience in line with the quality of its services, notably its BBM messaging platform and its e-mail services.

"And this is exactly what RIM is trying to achieve with the introduction of the BB10 platform.

"Yet in emerging markets, the situation is different. The introduction of affordable BlackBerry devices such as the BlackBerry Curve has enabled RIM to attract a large audience in the region, mainly young professionals and students."

However, the challenge RIM faces is not so much related to the device’s performance or its appeal but is more to do with how consumers will react to its brand new approach to the user experience.

"No doubt it will be challenging for RIM to push the new device to consumers in retail stores," Saadi says.

"Sales representatives often prefer to sell as many phones as quickly as possible, preferably ones that don’t require too much effort in educating the consumer.

"This happens each time a new platform is introduced to the market. For example, the shipments of iPhone, Android and Windows Phone devices did not exceed 1.1 million, 0.8 million and 0.9 million, respectively, in the first three months after they were launched.

"So, given the very fast growing smartphone market, RIM should aim to sell at least one million units of the new device in the first quarter after its launch.

"Anything below this would call into question the company’s ability to execute its marketing strategy while anything above 3 million units would be a spectacular performance, which will undoubtedly resurrect both the consumers’ and the investors’ confidence in the BlackBerry brand."

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